# A Framework for Frontier AI and the Dawning of a New Age
- Transcript ID: `e453e5e30155c21f`
- Source tier: `official_authored_text`
- Original language: `en_or_source_language_unlabeled`
- Translation status: `agent_translated_reviewed` (20/20 chunks)
- Original source: https://demishassabis.substack.com/p/a-framework-for-frontier-ai-and-the-dawning-of-a-new-age
- Raw evidence: `data/transcripts/web/demis-frontier-ai-framework-2026-07-14.json`
> 中文是派生翻译，英文是留存的源文本。中文未复核时，以英文和原始音视频为准。
## paragraph 1
**中文**
这是人类历史上的关键时刻。通用人工智能（AGI）——一种具备大脑所拥有全部认知能力的系统——可能只在短短几年之后就会到来。几十年后，当我们回望这段时期时，我想我们会意识到，当时我们正站在奇点的山麓：这无异于人类一个新时代的曙光。
**English / Original**
This is a pivotal moment in human history. Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), a system that exhibits all the cognitive capabilities the brain has, is probably only a few short years away. When we look back on this time in the decades to come, I think we will realise we were standing in the foothills of the singularity - nothing less than the dawning of a new age for humanity.
## paragraph 2
**中文**
我毕生都在从事 AGI 工作，因为我始终深信：如果以负责任的方式构建和部署，它将被证明是有史以来最有益、最具变革性的技术之一。AGI 无法与普通的技术突破相提并论，哪怕是互联网或移动通信这类影响深远的突破也不行——它更像是电或火的发现。稍加思索，你会发现我们本质上找到了让沙子思考的方法。这简直是奇迹。
**English / Original**
I’ve spent my whole life working on AGI because I’ve always had a deep conviction that, if built and deployed responsibly, it would prove to be one of the most beneficial and transformative technologies ever invented. AGI cannot be compared to standard technological breakthroughs, not even ones as consequential as the internet or mobile - it is much more akin to the discovery of electricity or fire. If you stop to think about it, we’ve essentially found a way to make sand think. It’s miraculous.
## paragraph 3
**中文**
这项技术的影响规模将前所未有：或许是工业革命的 10 倍，速度也快 10 倍。它将帮助我们解决社会面临的一些最大难题，从加速药物发现，到开发新的清洁能源，再到创造新型先进材料。我们甚至可能达到这样一个阶段：资源不再是人类进步的限制因素，从而开启一个令人惊叹的富足新时代。
**English / Original**
The magnitude of this technology’s impact will be unprecedented, perhaps 10x of the Industrial Revolution at 10x the speed. It will help us solve some of the biggest problems society faces from accelerating drug discovery to developing new clean energy sources to creating novel advanced materials. We could even reach a point where resources are no longer the limiting factor for human progress, leading to an amazing new era of abundance.
## paragraph 4
**中文**
前沿的挑战
**English / Original**
The Challenges of the Frontier
## paragraph 5
**中文**
AI 已开始带来现实世界的益处，但要实现其巨大的潜力，我们必须深思熟虑、谨慎地度过这一关键的发展时期。随着我们越来越接近 AGI，必须紧急采取行动，应对可能出现的风险。我们已经看到前沿模型给网络安全带来的挑战；随着能力持续提升，包括核风险和生物风险在内的其他威胁也可能很快出现。展望未来，我们将需要稳健的保障措施，以保持对日益具备智能体特征、能够递归自我改进的系统的控制——并处理那些只有随着时间推移才会变得更清楚的未知问题。
**English / Original**
AI is already starting to deliver real-world benefits but to realise its immense promise, we have to navigate this critical period of development thoughtfully and carefully. Urgent action is needed to address risks that might arise as we get closer to AGI. We’ve already seen the challenges frontier models pose for cybersecurity, and other threats including nuclear and bio risks may soon emerge as capabilities continue to advance. On the horizon, we will need robust safeguards to maintain control of increasingly agentic, recursively self-improving systems - and tackle unknown issues that will only become clearer over time.
## paragraph 6
**中文**
我始终相信，人类的聪明才智和创造力能够解决任何问题。我确信，缓解与 AI 相关的技术风险是我们能够共同应对的挑战，但前提是我们给予自己足够的时间和空间，把下一关键步走对。目前，无论作为一个领域还是作为更广泛的社会，我们都没有这样做。
**English / Original**
I’ve always believed in the power of human ingenuity and creativity to solve any problem. I’m confident that mitigating the technical risks related to AI is a challenge we can collectively address, but only if we give ourselves the time and space to get this next crucial step right. Currently, as a field and as a wider society, we aren’t doing that.
## paragraph 7
**中文**
眼下，我们正陷入一场极其激烈、多层次的商业和地缘政治竞赛。这些竞争动态在推动快速进步、加速非凡收益的同时，前沿的发展正超过我们对这项技术的理解。世界上没有人确切知道接下来会发生什么，连专家也意见不一。在不确定性很高、利害关系又如此重大的情况下，带着审慎的乐观态度推进，是明智且正确的策略。这需要公共政策在促进创新的同时，激励责任与安全；促进各国在关键安全议题上的合作；并鼓励人们审慎考量如何部署 AI，以造福社会。
**English / Original**
At the moment, we are locked in an extremely intense, multilayered commercial and geopolitical race. While these competitive dynamics fuel rapid progress and accelerate the incredible upsides, advances on the frontier are outpacing our understanding of the technology. Nobody in the world knows for sure what is going to happen from here, and even the experts disagree. When there is a large degree of uncertainty and the stakes are this high, proceeding with cautious optimism is the sensible and correct strategy. That calls for public policy that promotes innovation while also incentivising responsibility and security, fosters international collaboration on key safety issues, and encourages careful consideration of how AI is deployed for the benefit of society.
## paragraph 8
**中文**
前沿 AI 标准机构框架
**English / Original**
A Framework for a Frontier AI Standards Body
## paragraph 9
**中文**
我们在 AI 上看到的快速进展，要求采取一种新的方法来测试前沿 AI 模型能力：这种方法必须动态、可适应且严格。鉴于美国的经济和技术实力，它具备率先制定此类框架的有利条件。美国可以设立一个新的标准机构，其模式可参考受联邦监督的公私合作伙伴关系或自律组织，如金融业监管局（FINRA）；其董事会应包括独立的顶尖技术专家和开源领域代表。为吸引世界级技术人才并提供大规模测试所需的计算资源，资金必须相当充足，而且很可能主要来自行业。
**English / Original**
The rapid progress we’re seeing in AI requires a new approach to testing frontier AI model capabilities that is dynamic, adaptable, and rigorous. The US is well positioned, given its economic and technical standing, to take the first step in developing such a framework. It could establish a new Standards Body modelled on a federally overseen public-private partnership or self-regulatory organisation, much like the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), with a board that includes independent leading technical experts and open-source representatives. Funding would need to be substantial and likely mostly come from industry, in order to attract world-class technical talent and provide the necessary compute resources for large-scale testing.
## paragraph 10
**中文**
该标准机构将负责制定评估规程，并与适当的联邦机构及美国国家实验室合作，在与国家安全相关的领域开展测试。如果某模型在由标准机构确定、并为跟上 AI 能力演进而定期更新的一组基准上达到特定阈值，它就有资格被归为“前沿级”。依据这些基准被定义为拥有“前沿模型”的组织，将被视为“前沿实验室”，并被鼓励采用最佳实践，例如发布包含技术细节的模型卡、维持强有力的内部网络安全、审查关键人员，以及为安全和安保研究提供充足资源，等等。
**English / Original**
The Standards Body would be responsible for developing assessment protocols and working with appropriate federal agencies and the US National Labs to conduct testing in areas relevant to national security. A model would qualify as ‘Frontier-class’ if it meets certain thresholds on a set of benchmarks determined by the Standards Body and regularly updated to keep pace with evolving AI capabilities. Organisations with ‘Frontier Models’ as defined by those benchmarks would be deemed ‘Frontier Labs’, and be encouraged to adopt best practices, such as publishing model cards with technical details, maintaining strong internal cybersecurity, vetting key personnel, and providing sufficient resourcing for safety and security research, and more.
## paragraph 11
**中文**
起初，前沿实验室将在发布前最多 30 天自愿向标准机构提交模型以供审查。一旦评估规程被证明有效且稳健，正式化措施就可能迅速跟进；这意味着前沿模型若要部署到美国市场，将必须通过该评估。实验室还将与标准机构合作，解决任何发布后出现的关键漏洞。
**English / Original**
Initially, Frontier Labs would voluntarily share models with the Standards Body for review up to 30 days before release. Once the assessment protocol is shown to be effective and robust, formalisation could quickly follow, meaning that Frontier Models would be required to pass it to be deployed in the US market. Labs would also work with the Standards Body to address any critical post-release vulnerabilities.
## paragraph 12
**中文**
模型评估应包括对网络安全、生物威胁及其他高风险领域能力的严格科学评估。针对智能体式 AI 的专项测试可以查找试图绕过安全护栏的行为或欺骗迹象，并确保采用最佳实践，例如为 AI 生成图像添加数字水印，以及生成可由人类阅读的输出令牌，以理解模型推理。
**English / Original**
Model assessments should include rigorous scientific evaluations of capabilities in cybersecurity, biological threats and other high-risk domains. Specific agentic AI tests could look for attempts to bypass safety guardrails or signs of deception, and ensure best practices, such as digitally watermarking AI-generated images and generating human-readable output tokens to understand model reasoning.
## paragraph 13
**中文**
这些评估将定期更新，初期或许按季度进行；过时或已饱和的基准将被弃用并替换。起初，它们将与前沿实验室协商制定；但最终，标准机构应建立技术能力，独立于实验室创建自己的保留测试，以防止过拟合。通过与美国政府合作，它可以促进第三方审计机构生态的发展，协助开展评估并开发新的基准和评估方法。
**English / Original**
These evaluations would be regularly updated, perhaps quarterly to start, with outdated or saturated benchmarks being deprecated and replaced. Initially, they would be developed in consultation with Frontier Labs, but eventually the Standards Body should build up the technical capacity to create its own held-out tests independent of the Labs to prevent overfitting. Working with the US government, it could promote an ecosystem of third-party auditors to help with the assessments and development of new benchmarks and evaluations.
## paragraph 14
**中文**
这种方法的优势在于，它以技术为重点，同时支持创新并激励负责任的行为。其设计旨在跟上该领域的加速发展，并随着识别出最大风险而作出调整；如果事态严重性需要，还可以提高力度，包括在认为有必要时协调前沿实验室放缓开发。获指定为前沿实验室将具有显著声望；任何组织只要构建出符合基准标准的模型，都可以获得这一资格。该框架可适用于前沿级模型，不论其原产国，也不论其是开放还是封闭的；但任何非前沿模型——例如来自初创企业或学术界的模型——都将豁免于这一流程。
**English / Original**
The strength of this approach is it would be technically focused, while at the same time supporting innovation and incentivising responsible behaviour. It is designed to keep up with the field’s acceleration and adapt to the biggest risks as they are identified, and could be ratcheted up if the seriousness of the situation demands, including coordinating a slowdown in development among the Frontier Labs if deemed necessary. Being designated a Frontier Lab would carry significant prestige and be open to any organisation by building models that meet the benchmark criteria. The framework could apply to Frontier-class models no matter their country of origin or whether they are open or closed, but any non-frontier models, say from startups or academia, would be exempt from this process.
## paragraph 15
**中文**
这项由美国发起的努力，将为制定有关前沿 AI 的共同国际标准提供强有力的起点。由于这项技术将影响整个星球，理想情况下，这一框架将促使国际社会就如何管理最严重的风险达成共识，同时确保每个人都能获得并受益于 AI 带来的机会。
**English / Original**
This US-initiated effort would provide a strong starting point for creating shared international standards on Frontier AI. Since this technology is going to affect the entire planet, ideally this framework would spur the international community to reach a consensus on how to manage the most serious risks while ensuring everyone has access to and can benefit from the opportunities that AI brings.
## paragraph 16
**中文**
未来尚未写定
**English / Original**
The Future Is Not Yet Written
## paragraph 17
**中文**
AGI 有潜力成为推动科学和医学进步的终极工具，并带来巨大的生产率提升和经济增长。但要实现这一点，我们需要通过围绕共同的全球框架进行协调、采用最严格的科学方法、汇聚最优秀的人才来应对我们面临的挑战，从而夯实技术基础。
**English / Original**
AGI has the potential to be the ultimate tool for advancing science and medicine, and to drive enormous productivity gains and economic growth. But in order to achieve this, we need to get the technical foundations right by coordinating around a shared global framework, using the most rigorous scientific methods, and bringing the best minds together to work on the challenges we face.
## paragraph 18
**中文**
即使我们解决了这些艰难的技术挑战，仍会有更复杂的经济和哲学问题需要处理：在后稀缺世界中，需要什么样的新经济模式来帮助每个人都蓬勃发展？我们希望依循什么价值观生活，意义和目标将是什么，甚至人类自身的处境又可能如何改变？显然，解决这些问题不能、也不应只交给技术专家。它要求社会的每个部分共同参与，帮助界定这一新篇章。
**English / Original**
Even if we solve these hard technical challenges, there will be further complex economic and philosophical questions to tackle: what sorts of new economic models will be needed to help everyone thrive in a post-scarcity world? What values do we want to live by, what will meaning and purpose be, and how might even the human condition itself change? Resolving these questions obviously cannot and should not be left to technologists alone. It requires every part of society to come together to help define this new chapter.
## paragraph 19
**中文**
围绕 AI，既有巨大的兴奋，也有不确定性，两者都有其根据。但未来尚未写定；我们必须利用 AGI 到来前这一宝贵窗口，塑造这项技术，使其造福全人类。我们现在共同采取的行动，将决定文明下一阶段如何展开。通过安全地引导 AGI 进入世界，我们能够进入科学发现与进步的新黄金时代，并开启一个人类蓬勃繁荣的光明未来。
**English / Original**
There is both huge excitement and uncertainty around AI, and both are warranted. But the future is not yet written, we must use this precious window before AGI arrives to shape this technology for the benefit of all humanity. What we collectively do now will determine how the next phase of civilisation unfolds. By safely stewarding AGI into the world, we can enter a new golden age of scientific discovery and progress, and usher in a bright future of incredible human flourishing.
## paragraph 20
**中文**
德米斯·哈萨比斯（Demis Hassabis） 诺贝尔奖得主｜Google DeepMind 与 Isomorphic Labs 联合创始人兼首席执行官
**English / Original**
Demis HassabisNobel Laureate | Co-Founder & CEO, Google DeepMind & Isomorphic Labs